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　　The picture shows the members of the garbage transfer team of Thunder God Mountain hospital Property Management Team taking a group photo. Information photo

　　In Thunder God Mountain hospital, Wuhan, because of them, the daily work of cleaning and disinfection, public security patrol, and distribution of lunch boxes can operate in an orderly manner. They are the Thunder God Mountain hospital property management team with more than 400 people.

　　On February 16th, Yang Ling, the business backbone of the property company of Wuhan Real Estate Group with 11 years of clinical nursing experience, learned that the ICU ward in Thunder God Mountain hospital was officially opened, and volunteered: "I have experience, and I will not enter the ICU ward!"

　　Under her leadership, four members of the property management team undertake the cleaning work of two ICU wards and nurse stations, and work for more than 10 hours every day. In addition to normal cleaning, Yang Ling is also responsible for the disinfection and sterilization of equipment and beds in an ICU ward. "There is a 1.2-meter-high large trash can next to each patient’s bed, and on average, more than 30 bags of medical waste are cleared and transported every day." Yang Ling said.

　　Before the outbreak, Chen Weiwei was a full-time network car driver. At 11: 00 pm on January 27th, seeing the news of recruiting Thunder God Mountain hospital property personnel in the circle of friends, he made a consultation call and signed up two days later. "Just like when I chose to be a soldier, I want to do something meaningful." Since entering Thunder God Mountain hospital on February 2nd, Chen Weiwei and 30 team members have been responsible for the medical waste transfer in 32 wards.

　　Just arrived in Thunder God Mountain hospital, Chen Weiwei and his companions are responsible for the removal of 100 bags of garbage every day. With the increase in the number of patients admitted, this number is rising, with 600 bags and 1,000 bags … … On the heaviest day of the task, Chen Weiwei got off work at 3: 30 in the morning and went back to the dormitory to sleep for more than three hours before continuing to work.

　　"Chen Weiwei is coming to collect garbage, and the garbage dump in the A16 ward is full." The news in the WeChat working group has hardly been broken. As the team leader, no matter who called, Chen Weiwei replied and arrived at the first time. "Everyone is afraid of the virus, but we can’t leave it alone because we are afraid. I am willing to contribute to the fight against the epidemic."

　　Thunder God Mountain hospital’s property manager, party member Li Xuanxi, has been holding his post for more than a month. Li Xuanxi, born in 1993, is responsible for equipment maintenance and purchasing of living materials in Thunder God Mountain hospital. At the beginning, there were 12 wards in the hospital within 2 days, and the head nurses in each ward had different requirements for property work. Li Xuanxi coordinated and followed up according to the requirements of various wards, and received more than 120 calls every day.

　　In order to make an accurate property workflow, Li Xuanxi went into the isolation ward and garbage transfer team again and again to measure the task of each person. Li Xuanxi said, "There are dangers, but Wuhan has nurtured me. At this time, I want to repay this heroic city."

Wen/Muyu

In China, social APP for strangers is a mystery. When talking about it in public, everyone scoffed, but privately, they quietly registered various platforms. According to the statistics of Ai Media Consulting, in recent years, the scale of social users of strangers in China has been growing, reaching nearly 650 million in 2020.

Everyone wants to get involved in the huge lonely market. The Internet has ups and downs, and only social interaction remains unchanged.

There are more and more social apps, and it is getting easier for everyone to know people, but it is getting harder and harder to understand people. Social platforms help people establish connections, but they deepen their loneliness.

The social platform for strangers has developed for so many years, but it has never been able to get out of the 1.0 era of "pan-socialization", why on earth? Is it "real business" or "false proposition"? Where should it go in the future?

Metacosmic Socialization: Old Wine in New Bottles

The pattern of social apps is changing, but the essence has not improved.

Not long ago, on February 11th, the social APP "Gel", which was launched only three weeks ago, successfully ranked first in the free list of the App store on that day, and dominated the list for three days, becoming the first social application ranking beyond WeChat since 2019.

The breakthrough of gel has triggered a series of discussions. Yes, it is also a "meta-universe". Users pinch their faces through AI to create their own avatars in the 3D world, and then socialize online. After a brief burst of popularity, the gel was quickly removed from the shelves due to problems such as doll wearing, clothing infringement and user privacy.

After the excitement, it quickly cooled down. On platforms such as Xiaohongshu, many users said that it was "boring", "uninstalled" and "useless". In fact, from the product point of view, the gel is not unique. In recent months, whether it is Rainbow Universe, which is known as "the first social stock in China Meta Universe", or Queuing Island in ByteDance, Xirang in Baidu, etc.The core gameplay is "pinching face and dressing up+virtual socialization".

Gel APP

To put it bluntly, the so-called meta-cosmic socialization is just to make the original product 3D, which is far from the real meta-cosmic experience like Ready Player One.

In fact, not only the meta-universe, but also the social APP for strangers in China has never really evolved since its birth. It has always been in the 1.0 era of "pan-socialization" and failed to enter the 2.0 era of "deep socialization". That is to say, social apps have changed from "strict control" to "voice control" or from LBS matching to interest matching.They just let you "know more about people", not let you "know more about people".

From Mo Mo to exploring, to Soul, people just changed different versions of the "gun-making artifact", but did not make real friends and establish effective relationships on it. Apart from helping people pass the time, social apps did not really solve the problem of "loneliness".

Undoubtedly, stranger socialization is a "real business", but Internet companies have made it a "false proposition". Why?

Paradox between "True Business" and "False Proposition"

Stranger social apps can’t achieve the balance between business interests and social values, perhaps for the following reasons:

First, there are natural and essential contradictions in product logic.

The social APP for strangers is efficiency-oriented. Mainstream products have the function of instant messaging, and they are all committed to how to help users connect more quickly. Momo’s rise is because people nearby can move from online to offline faster. Soul’s rise is because voice has higher communication efficiency than text.

However, socialization is naturally an inefficient thing. The establishment of relationships takes time to precipitate, and the accumulation of trust requires multi-faceted interaction.In the acceleration of connecting people, social products will naturally dilute the emotional concentration of the relationship and lower the spiritual depth of interaction.

Source: Network

In the past, online dating was a three-year and five-year long-distance running. Today, online dating is just a three-day and five-day game. From a psychological point of view, the period of maintaining freshness is four months, which can’t be reached at all on social apps, and even a large number of relationships such as "throwing lovers in the sun" have been developed.

The fast pace of online and the slow life of offline have formed a strong tear. The social context built by social apps in the virtual world cannot make people in the real world feel emotional and spiritual satisfaction, creating a strong sense of unreality.

Second, the deliberate edge ball induction in operation.

Although Momo officials never admitted that they were "dating software", it is undeniable that it did induce this behavior of users, and it gave China an outlet for sexual demand that had been suppressed for many years. No matter how glamorous words were used on the surface, it was hard to avoid playing such an edge ball in the operation process.

Even Soul, which claims to be a social soul, has introduced the function of the square, where only good-looking people can enjoy themselves. Most of the information streams recommended by the algorithm are "sexy" beauty selfies and ambiguous copywriting.

Soul APP

It is not difficult to understand from the perspective of business model.Social APP is a product with typical network effect and scale effect.It doesn’t have substantive products like e-commerce, nor does it provide high-quality content like the content community, or other tool-based apps provide a specific service. It relies on frequent interaction between users.The social interaction of strangers is essentially an unsustainable and highly uncertain demand. If we want to gather enough users, the greatest common denominator we can find is Maslow’s underlying demand, which is both urgent and tenacious.

Therefore, no matter how rich the interactive functions provided by social apps are, they will go to a wider market and eventually become an "appointment artifact" irrevocably. No matter what the initial intentions of Momo founder Tang Yan and Soul founder Zhang Lu are, for the sake of traffic, the product operation process will inevitably move towards action deformation, turning a blind eye to certain behaviors, and watching the platform fall into a smog step by step.

Finally, it is difficult to get rid of the fate of making wedding clothes for others.

Chinese Internet users are not sticky at all, especially in the social field. All founders of social apps for strangers will face a "soul torture": What if users add WeChat after they know each other? This is almost an unsolvable problem. In China, strangers socializing and acquaintances socializing are two distinct existence, and the high barrier of WeChat in the acquaintance relationship chain is unshakable.

Source: Network

As a result, the social APP for strangers can never form a closed-loop product. As a social platform, it cannot precipitate the user relationship chain.

The operation is facing an extremely embarrassing situation: the matching efficiency of users’ friends is low, and the loss of users is accelerated because of unsatisfied needs; The matching efficiency of users’ friends is high, and the loss of users due to transfer is accelerated.

How to solve this problem? Change the answer sheet.

Back to the original product starting point, all internet products are essentially in the same time battlefield, as long as users can spend time on the APP.So social platforms don’t need you to really make friends on them, as long as you are willing to spend time.Taking socialization as the table and entertainment as the reality, Momo’s resurrection depends on the live broadcast business, and Soul’s game functions are also increasing.

Social apps don’t really want to help you find friends, just want you to spend time and recharge. Entertainment-consuming socialization is a typical "ineffective socialization", which naturally does not give users a "sense of gain".

In addition to "about guns" and "games",

What else can strangers do when socializing?

The evolution of the mainstream stranger social APP product form represented by Momo is also the result of interaction with the needs of the people of the times. It is an outbreak of repression of emotional and sexual needs by Chinese people in the past years, but it is also staged.Social needs will inevitably move from the bottom of Maslow to the top. Today, everyone’s "loneliness" is no longer a lack of playmates, but has risen to spiritual resonance and recognition.

Zhang Xiaolong said that the essence of social interaction is to find the same kind.

In today’s atomized society, the mobility is increasing, the original social interpersonal relationship structure is disintegrated, people are forced to be divided into isolated islands, eager to be connected by the same kind, and it is this bridge that strangers need to play in social interaction.

In addition to producing hormones and dopamine, social apps need to provide more incremental value to connect with their peers. Stranger social tracks have also made different attempts to find the same kind for users.

Such as social activities.

Around 2015, there was a lively social activity. Taking the former head of someone as an example, with the concept of "everyone is the organizer", users can launch offline activities online, similar to Douban City. This model was first popular abroad. Founded in 2002, Meetup was one of the earliest active social networking sites. In 2017, it was acquired by WeWork for 200 million US dollars. In 2019, Meetup had more than 44 million users worldwide.

Meetup APP

In fact, the starting point of social activities is the real social activities under the tropic of cancer, with parties as the main product, but this model has met with acclimatization in China.

There is considerable uncertainty in offline multi-person activities, especially in China, which is generally not good at social, and it relies heavily on the planning and organizing ability of the organizers. Moreover, users in China are not used to paying for non-functional services, and a mature business model has not been explored for social activities. In March 2020, someet announced its closure, and many users expressed their nostalgia. They had a reputation but didn’t make money, which made the form of social activities never really develop.

Another typical representative is the interest in socializing.

The essence of interest socialization is to stratify users based on hobbies, so that they can find their own vertical circle. The forum exists on this basis, from Baidu Post Bar to Douban Group, which are all classic products.However, from the content community to the social APP, although based on the same product logic, there are essential differences.

Content communities rely on high-quality content to attract users, while interest social apps rely on tagging to gather users, which are not the same in viscosity. Social APP is centered on efficiency and immediacy, and its information flow naturally cannot produce and precipitate high-quality content like the content community, so it is difficult to form a real interest atmosphere. However, Chinese’s interest in cultural life is generally vague and popular, which also determines that social interest can only be sticky in a small circle.

Source: Ai Media Consulting

In July 2019, the product was acquired by Yingke Live, and its circle of interest still exists, but the homepage of the product still focuses on LBS-based face-to-face socialization, and the difference is that it depends on people nearby to recharge their members; In February, 2021, QQ closed the interest tribe, and in December, 2021, WeChat stopped the WeChat circle … The road of interest socialization, whether it is an emerging player or a giant, was finally defeated.

At least for now, stranger socializing in China is still a world of hormones and dopamine.This can’t be entirely blamed on the lack of hard work of social apps. Although everyone shouted "Good-looking skins are the same, interesting souls should choose one in case", they kept carefully taking selfies all the time, and their values kept rolling in, and their spirits remained calm.

However, the world of beauty is illusory after all, and the spiritual loneliness will only become more intense. Perhaps when the desire for deep socialization exceeds a critical value, the 2.0 era of strangers’ social interaction will slowly come.

　　　　　　 CCTV News:At about 7: 50 pm yesterday (26th), an explosion occurred in a factory in Weishi County, Henan Province, which caused a fire, killing 6 people and injuring 5 others. After the accident, the wounded were sent to the First People’s Hospital of Zhengzhou City, Henan Province for treatment. Three of them were in critical condition and were still being rescued.

　　　　　　 Today (27th) morning, the reporter saw in the natural spice extraction workshop of Xumei Biotechnology Co., Ltd. that the two tempered glass windows in the workshop were all shattered and the tiles on the surrounding walls were also shattered. It is understood that at about 7: 50 last night, a double tank in the workshop exploded, causing a fire.

Shattered tempered glass

　　　　　　 Guo Jianfeng, a member of the investigation team of the 6.26 accident in Weishi County, Henan Province, said: "Up to now, six people have died, and five others are being treated with all their strength."

　　　　　　 According to the hospital, all the five wounded were men, aged between 24 and 35. Two of them have a burn area of about 30%, and their condition is relatively stable at present. The other three people’s burn area is more than 95%, which belongs to extremely severe burns.

　　　　　　 Xia Chengde, director of the Burn Department of the First People’s Hospital of Zhengzhou City, Henan Province: "After admission, we gave these three people tracheotomy, limb reduction (force) surgery, and the other was anti-shock and anti-infection treatment. At present, these three patients are in ICU (rescue) and are still in shock, and their condition is more critical. "

　　　　　　 At present, Zhengzhou First People’s Hospital has invited domestic burn experts to consult three critically ill patients this afternoon. At present, the cause of the explosion accident is under investigation.

　　Nuclear energy, also known as atomic energy, is the energy generated when nuclear fission or fusion occurs, which is widely used in industrial and military fields. Nuclear power is the abbreviation of nuclear power generation, which is the electricity generated by nuclear power generation. Using nuclear energy to generate electricity is conducive to optimizing the national or regional energy structure, improving energy security and economy, and playing an increasingly important role in economic and social development. According to the statistics of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), as of the end of January 2011, there were 442 nuclear power units in operation in the world, and the operating nuclear power plants were mainly distributed in North America, Asia and Europe, accounting for about 16% of the global power generation. There are 65 nuclear power units under construction, including 30 in China. At present, there are 13 nuclear power units in operation in China, ranking 11th in the world, with an installed capacity of 11.169 million kWh, accounting for 1.16% of China’s total installed power capacity, and the annual power generation is equivalent to 31.72 million tons of coal.

　　First, the working principle of nuclear power plants

　　A nuclear power station is a power station that uses the energy released by nuclear fission or fusion reaction of atoms to produce electric energy. At present, nuclear power plants in commercial operation all use nuclear fission reaction to generate electricity. Nuclear power plants are generally divided into two parts: nuclear islands (including reactor devices) that generate steam by atomic nuclear fission and conventional islands (including turbine-generator systems) that generate electricity by steam. The fuels used in nuclear power plants are generally the chemical elements uranium and plutonium. At present, the main types of nuclear power plants in operation and under construction are PWR, candu nuclear power plant, boiling water reactor, fast reactor and gas-cooled reactor.

　　Pressurized water reactor (PWR) nuclear power plant is a thermal neutron reactor which uses pressurized light water as coolant and moderator, and water does not boil in the reactor, and uses thermal neutrons to cause chain reaction. Daya Bay Nuclear Power Plant, Ling ‘ao Nuclear Power Plant, Qinshan No.1 Nuclear Power Plant, Qinshan No.2 Nuclear Power Plant and Tianwan Nuclear Power Plant in China all belong to this type of reactor. Candu nuclear power plant uses light water as coolant and heavy water as moderator, and the water does not boil in the reactor. It is also a thermal neutron reactor that uses thermal neutrons to cause chain reaction. Qinshan No.3 nuclear power station in China belongs to this type of reactor. Boiling water reactor nuclear power plant uses light water as coolant and moderator, but water boils in the reactor, which uses thermal neutrons to cause chain reaction. Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant in Japan belongs to this type of reactor. The fast reactor nuclear power plant is a nuclear reactor in which the thermal energy released by the chain reaction caused by fast neutrons is converted into electrical energy. The nuclear power plant imported from Russia and to be built in Sanming, Fujian Province belongs to this type of reactor. Gas-cooled reactor nuclear power plant is a thermal neutron reactor with gas (carbon dioxide or helium) as coolant, which is caused by thermal neutrons. So far, three types of reactors have been developed, such as natural uranium graphite gas-cooled reactor, improved gas-cooled reactor and high temperature gas-cooled reactor. The Shidaowan nuclear power plant to be built in China belongs to high temperature gas-cooled reactor. The nuclear power plants in operation and under construction in China are mainly pressurized water reactor nuclear power plants.

　　PWR nuclear power plants generally have three loops: primary loop (reactor device), secondary loop (turbine generator system) and tertiary loop (circulating water system). Nuclear fuel burns in a special form in the reactor, generating heat to heat the coolant in the primary circuit. The heated coolant enters the steam generator under the push of the main pump, which heats the water in the secondary circuit and turns it into steam, and then is sent back to the core by the main pump for reheating. This continuous cycle is called a loop. Steam enters the steam turbine through the pipeline, which drives the turbine generator to do work and generate electricity, then enters the condenser, and is cooled into water and returned to the steam generator. This steam-water cycle process is called the secondary loop. The third loop uses seawater or fresh water, and its function is to cool the steam in the second loop in the condenser to change it back into condensed water.

　　In order to ensure the safety of nuclear power plant, many safety facilities are also considered in the design, including: automatic shutdown system, reactor overpressure protection system, emergency core boron injection system, emergency core cooling system, emergency water supply system, radioactive material containment system and its supporting emergency power supply and cooling ventilation system. On March 11th, 2011, the safety system of Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan performed related functions, such as automatic shutdown and emergency diesel generator start-up. However, due to the magnitude 9 earthquake and tsunami, the related systems were out of power and lost the final heat sink due to flooding.

　　According to China’s nuclear safety regulations and the recommendations of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the principle of "defense in depth" is strictly implemented in the design, construction and operation of nuclear power plants in China, and multi-level overlapping protection is provided from equipment and measures to ensure that radioactive materials can be effectively contained without leakage. "Defense in Depth" includes the following five lines of defense: careful design and construction to ensure excellent equipment and safety training of nuclear power plants; Strengthen operation management and supervision, and eliminate faults in time; Design and provide multi-level safety system and protection system to prevent equipment failure and human error from causing accidents; Activate the safety system of nuclear power plants, strengthen the management of power plants in accidents, and prevent accidents from expanding; Start the emergency response plan inside and outside the factory, and strive to reduce the impact of the accident on the surrounding residents.

　　Two major nuclear accidents and experience feedback

? 　Due to the complexity of the nuclear power plant system and the limitation of human understanding, there were two major nuclear accidents before the Fukushima nuclear accident. The accident at Three Mile Island in the United States on March 28th, 1979 had little impact on the environment. The Chernobyl accident on April 26, 1986 really made people realize the potential threat of nuclear power plants. In the accident, 237 occupational workers were exposed to clinically effective overdose radiation, of which 134 showed symptoms of acute radiation and 28 died within 3 months. From 1986 to 1987, the average radiation dose of 200,000 people who participated in accident treatment was about 100 millisieverts, of which about 10% people received 250 millisieverts and a few people received more than 500 millisieverts. After the accident, about 10% of the 116,000 residents evacuated from the restricted area with a radius of 30 kilometers received more than 50 millisieverts, and less than 5% received more than 100 millisieverts. Short-term exposure of humans to radiation doses below 100 millisieverts is basically harmless. The investigation shows that the fundamental causes of Chernobyl accident are design defects (positive power coefficient, no containment, etc.) and human errors (serious violation of regulations). The Chernobyl nuclear accident is by far the most serious one (the Fukushima nuclear accident cannot be accurately evaluated at present due to the lack of specific data).

　　Through the summary and reflection of nuclear accidents, many new safety measures and safety concepts have been developed. After the Chernobyl accident, international nuclear safety group of IAEA put forward the concept of nuclear safety culture, and published the report "Safety Culture" in 1991, which was widely accepted worldwide. At the same time, nuclear operators in the world realize that any nuclear accident will have an impact on other nuclear power plants. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen exchanges and cooperation among nuclear operating units, promote effective experience feedback, and establish a nuclear safety culture to prevent nuclear accidents. In May 1989, 144 nuclear operators around the world signed the Charter of the World Association of Nuclear Operators (WANO) in Moscow, aiming at improving the safety and reliability of nuclear power plants around the world.

　　Third, the new generation of nuclear power technology and its prospect

　　After nearly 60 years of development, nuclear power has formed a complete set of systematic and complete theoretical system and accumulated a lot of operating experience. The newly designed nuclear power units are divided into two directions: one is to increase the configuration of special safety facilities to enhance the safety of the units, represented by EPR nuclear power units in France and VVER nuclear power units in Russia; Second, a large number of passive special safety facilities are used to enhance the safety of the unit, represented by the AP1000 nuclear power unit in the United States. French EPR adopts the design concept of "plus", that is, to increase redundancy to improve safety, and the safety system is increased from two series to four series, which also increases the complexity of the safety system and takes corresponding measures to prevent and alleviate serious accidents. The American AP1000 safety system adopts the "passive" design concept, which better achieves the "simplified" design principle. The safety system uses the natural characteristics of materials (gravity, natural circulation, energy of compressed gas, etc.), and does not need pumps, AC power supplies and corresponding support systems such as ventilation and cooling water, which greatly simplifies the safety system and reduces human errors. The design concept of VVER nuclear power unit in Russia is similar to that of EPR in France.

　　The accident of Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan has once again aroused people’s concern about the safety risks of nuclear power, which will promote people’s continuous exploration of new technologies, with the aim of making nuclear energy safer, cleaner and more efficient. (Author: Party Secretary and Deputy Director of the Nuclear and Radiation Safety Center of the Ministry of Environmental Protection)

Party flag is flying high on the front line of flood control.

?-A group of news that officers and men of the national defense mobilization system and militia participated in flood fighting and emergency rescue.

The People’s Armed Forces Department of Xinfeng County, Guangdong Province was moved at the news.

Party member backbone charge ahead.

The militia moved the trapped people in the raging flood. Pan intelligent photo

China National Defense News Lin Xiaoqi and Pan Shiyuan reported that in recent days, affected by heavy rainfall, floods occurred in many places in Xinfeng County, Guangdong Province.

"There are people trapped in Matou Town, and the situation is critical. Rescue forces are urgently needed to transfer the trapped people." On the morning of June 18th, after receiving the rescue call, the People’s Armed Forces Department of Xinfeng County heard the order and dispatched more than 40 militiamen in an emergency, carrying rubber boats, life-saving catapults, life jackets and other rescue materials and equipment to the front line.

Landslides occurred in some sections, causing traffic disruption. Militia members use shovels, carts and other tools to clean up debris such as mud stones and branches on the road and get through the blocked roads. After arriving in Matou Town, some militia members drove rubber boats, and some waded waist-deep floods to transfer trapped people and materials from house to house.

"If the old man can’t walk, he will carry it on his back. In any case, he must ensure the safe transfer of the masses." In the face of elderly people with mobility difficulties, the backbone of party member took the lead in charging in the most dangerous places. Militia members were in groups of three, carrying old people and carrying materials, and ran again and again until all the people were transferred to safety. After the militia Chen Yuanhua carried the last old man back, he leaned against the tree and gasped. He said: "When the villagers are safe, we will be relieved."

"Give life jackets to the elderly and children, and make sure they are safe." An old man and two children in Shijiao village were trapped by the flood. Teng Zhaolin, political commissar of the county people’s armed forces department, and eight militiamen formed a party member commando team to carry out rescue. In the face of the rushing flood, Teng Zhaolin put his life jacket on the children. Everyone relayed the old man and the child to the rubber boat and moved to safety. "When we see the PLA and the militia coming, our hearts will be practical." The villagers said.

In the past few days, the People’s Armed Forces Department of Xinfeng County has dispatched more than 300 militiamen and used 4 rubber boats to safely transfer more than 200 people trapped.

The People’s Armed Forces Department of Fuliang County, Jiangxi Province was dispatched urgently.

Baili rushed to block the piping

The militia who fought all night in a row threw themselves into the battle to reinforce the dam the next day. Photo by Ye Zhiwen

China National Defense News Huang Shuhui reported: In the middle and late June, Jingdezhen City, Jiangxi Province was affected by continuous heavy rainfall. The water levels of Changjiang River and Le ‘an River, two major rivers in the region, soared, and many places suffered from different degrees of floods. There were piping dangers in many riverbanks, and the flood control situation was grim.

"There are many piping in the port section of leping city Lebei Lianyu, and your department quickly organized forces to block it." At 23: 00 on June 20, after receiving the order from Jingdezhen Military Division, the People’s Armed Forces Department of Fuliang County held an emergency deployment meeting to immediately mobilize manpower and material resources. In less than 30 minutes, 120 militiamen were assembled and all rescue materials and equipment were loaded.

"Comrades, find a soldier for one thousand days and fight for a while. It’s time to test us. Let’s add luster to party flag with practical actions … "At 0: 00 on the 21st, Ye Hongyan, Minister of the People’s Armed Forces of the county, led the militia detachment to the dangerous area overnight after a brief mobilization.

At 1: 00 a.m., they drove more than 100 miles to the port section of Lianxu, Lebei, leping city, only to see several piping outlets pouring out of the dike. Ye Hongyan and party member backbone after seeing the danger, set the plugging scheme, and act quickly. Militia members according to the plan division of labor, turn on the lights and flashlights, bagging, carrying materials, passing sandbags, blocking piping, orderly operation, busy but not chaotic. The militia members are all high-spirited and cooperate with each other. After more than 8 hours of continuous fighting, the danger was effectively controlled.

At 10 o’clock on the 21st, the militia members who fought all night forgot to rest, carried forward the fine style of continuous fighting and were not afraid of difficulties, and threw themselves into the battle of transporting sandstone and timber and strengthening dams. Although everyone is exhausted, they can’t tell whether their faces are muddy or sweaty, and many people’s hands are worn out, but no one is complaining and tired, and they have been fighting in the front line.

The People’s Armed Forces Department of Jiangyong County, Hunan Province fought continuously.

Braving the heavy rain to divert people.

As the water level rose and the road was flooded, the militia carried the old man and moved to safety. Photo by Tang Hui

China National Defense News Xie Junmin and Tang Hui reported that from 8: 00 on June 20 to 8: 00 on June 21, there was a general rainstorm in Jiangyong County, Hunan Province, with heavy rain in some areas, and the river exceeded the warning level. At 5: 00 a.m. on the 21st, the water level of the Museum of Women’s Book Ecological Park in Shangjiangxu Town rose sharply, the village was flooded and more than 300 people were trapped by the flood.

After receiving the order, the People’s Armed Forces Department of Jiangyong County quickly launched the emergency plan and organized the militia emergency company to rush to the disaster site in heavy rain. The Museum of Women’s Book Ecological Park was surrounded by floods, with a depth of 2 meters, and the terrain leading to the homes of the trapped people was complicated. After surveying the terrain on the spot, they divided the militia into two groups, one group was responsible for clearing road obstacles and the other group was driving rubber boats to carry out rescue. After six hours of fighting, more than 300 villagers were all safely transferred to temporary resettlement sites.

On the afternoon of the 21st, heavy rain fell again in Jiangyong County, which aggravated the disaster in nine townships and threatened the lives and property of some people. At 20 o’clock, the leaders of the People’s Armed Forces Department led the militia emergency detachment, carrying rubber boats, assault boats and flood control and rescue equipment, and rushed to the affected towns to carry out emergency rescue.

The roads in Gaoyun Village of Xiacengpu Town were all flooded. Under the guidance of the masses, the team members drove the rubber dinghy slowly in the fast-flowing water. Due to the complicated local water conditions, the ditches on both sides of the road are different in depth, and the sight is not good at dark, the rubber boats run aground from time to time, so the team members have to wade forward with rubber boats. Some villagers don’t want to leave home. The village party secretary took the militia to knock on the door from house to house to persuade the masses to move to a safe place to ensure that no one was left behind.

As of 8: 00 on the 22nd, they turned to Xiacengpu Town, Taochuan Town, Coarse Shijiang Town and other places, and fought for more than 9 hours continuously, transferring all 53 trapped people to safety.

?

　　At present, what are the research results of highly pathogenic avian influenza?

　　Since the mid-1990s, China has done a lot of work on the epidemiology, diagnosis, immune control and basic research of avian influenza, and obtained many research results. The diagnosis technology of avian influenza has been established: ① agar diffusion (AGP) diagnosis technology. ② subtype typing technology of avian influenza virus. ③ Molecular diagnosis and detection technology of avian influenza virus. Avian influenza vaccine development: An inactivated vaccine of H5 subtype avian influenza has been developed, which can be used for emergency immunization of H5 subtype highly pathogenic avian influenza. The live carrier vaccine of H5N1 subtype avian influenza recombinant fowlpox virus has also entered the stage of environmental release and safety evaluation.

　　How long will it take to confirm the pathogen? Do what experiment?

　　Highly pathogenic avian influenza must be diagnosed by virus isolation and identification. It usually takes at least 3~5 days for virus isolation and subtype identification. The pathogenicity of the virus must be finally determined by artificial intravenous inoculation of non-specific pathogen chickens (SPF chickens).

　　What is the standard for diagnosing highly pathogenic avian influenza stipulated in the technical specification for prevention and control of highly pathogenic avian influenza issued by the Ministry of Agriculture? According to the Notice of the Ministry of Agriculture on Printing and Distributing Seven Technical Specifications for Prevention and Control of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (Nongbanmu [2002] No.74), highly pathogenic avian influenza can be confirmed to have occurred under the following circumstances: ① There are typical clinical symptoms and pathological changes, acute onset and high mortality, and Newcastle disease and toxic diseases can be excluded, and serological tests are positive. ② Avian influenza serotypes H5 and H7 were seropositive in the poultry that were not immunized. ③ Avian influenza virus strains of H5 and H7 subtypes or other subtypes were isolated from poultry flocks.

　　According to the virulence, avian influenza is divided into several categories, how to identify it?

　　Influenza viruses are divided into highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HP avian influenza virus), low pathogenic avian influenza virus (LP avian influenza virus) and non-pathogenic avian influenza virus (NP avian influenza virus) according to their pathogenicity. In view of the importance of HP avian influenza virus, the relevant identification standards and procedures are introduced as follows:

　　The World Organization for Animal Health classifies highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses as follows:

　　(1) Eight susceptible chickens aged 4-8 weeks were inoculated with 02 ml of 1∶10 diluted allantoic fluid infected with influenza virus by intravenous injection, which could cause 6-7 or 8 chickens to die within 10 days after inoculation. These influenza viruses should be highly pathogenic.

　　(2) The isolate can kill 1~5 chickens, but the virus is not H5 or H7 subtype, so the following experiments should be carried out: Inoculate the virus on the cell culture, and observe whether it causes cell pathological changes or forms plaque when trypsin is lacking. If the virus cannot grow on cells, the isolate should be considered as a non-highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.

　　(3) When all H5 and H7 strains with low pathogenicity and other viruses can grow on cells lacking trypsin, the amino acid sequence of peptide chain related to hemagglutinin should be analyzed. If the analysis results are similar to other highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses, this tested isolate should be considered as highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.

　　How to collect and separate the samples of the pathogen after the occurrence of avian influenza?

　　The diagnosis depends largely on the quality of the sample, the storage and transportation process of the sample before laboratory treatment. Samples of respiratory viruses used for cell culture, chicken embryo inoculation and direct detection of virus antigens or nucleic acids should be collected 3 days after the onset of flu symptoms. Avian influenza is mainly infected by respiratory tract and digestive tract. Therefore, the samples collected from the upper respiratory tract of mammals and birds are suitable for the identification and diagnosis of influenza virus. There are three types of upper respiratory tract swabs: nasal cotton swabs, throat cotton swabs and tracheal cotton swabs. Slaughtered or dead mammals should collect samples in the lower respiratory tract, which are divided into three types: tracheal cotton swab, bronchial cotton swab and lung tissue. Avian samples should be collected in the respiratory tract and most of the digestive tract. The virus samples collected include cloacal cotton swabs and feces, among which cloacal cotton swabs can be collected from live chickens or slaughtered chickens. Collecting feces samples from chicken coops or the environment is a common sampling method, but it has the disadvantage of not being able to determine the exact source of samples. If it is suspected that dead birds contain highly pathogenic avian influenza virus, representative internal organs such as brain, spleen, heart and lung should also be collected.

　　If you want to detect the virus directly by immunofluorescence staining of infected cells, then the collected disease materials should be placed in an ice bath and the samples should be processed within 1~2 hours. Samples used for virus isolation should be frozen in the refrigerator immediately after sampling, and inoculated into sensitive cells or chicken embryos as early as possible. If the sample cannot be processed within 48~72 hours, it should be frozen at -70℃ or below. If the test tube containing the sample is not sealed, or the plastic bag containing the sample is not tightly sealed, the sample cannot be transported or stored in dry ice. Because once the dry ice comes into contact with the diseased sample, it can quickly inactivate the influenza virus that may exist in it.

　　The collected samples should be placed in a suitable transport buffer to ensure the isolation of the virus. At present, there are some transport buffers suitable for different virus samples, such as Hanks balanced salt solution, cell culture medium, phosphate buffer, tryptone-phosphate broth, calf beef soup and sucrose phosphate buffer, etc. In these transport buffers, 0.5% ~ 1% protein, such as bovine serum albumin and gelatin, should be added, and antibiotics should be added to prevent the growth of bacteria.

　　How to collect and transport pathological samples?

　　Pathological samples should generally be taken from dead or live birds in the early stage of infection or acute stage of onset. Dead birds collected tissue samples such as trachea, lung, liver, kidney, spleen and cloaca. Live birds should be smeared with sterilized cotton swabs of different sizes on throat, trachea or cloaca. Cotton swabs with secretions should be put into broth containing 1 000 international units of penicillin, 2 000 micrograms of streptomycin and pH 72 ~ 76 per ml. When there is no broth, Hanks solution or 25%~50% glycerol saline can be used. The concentration of antibiotics used in feces and cloaca cotton swabs should be increased.

　　Transportation and storage of samples: if the collected samples are inspected within 48 hours, they can be stored at 4℃; Otherwise, it should be stored at low temperature (-70℃ is the best).

　　What are the diagnostic methods and procedures for highly pathogenic avian influenza?

　　(1) Epidemiology Avian influenza virus has a wide range of hosts, such as chickens, turkeys, ducks, geese, quails and pheasants, and wild birds, waterfowl and seabirds. Among them, chickens and turkeys are the most harmful after being infected with avian influenza virus, and more viruses are isolated from ducks than other poultry. Birds of all ages can be infected.

　　Avian influenza virus is mainly transmitted through direct contact and indirect contact between infected birds (including equipment in contact with infected birds). In addition, poisonous birds or waterfowl often become the source of infection, causing a large number of diseases and deaths of poultry.

　　(2) The incubation period of clinical symptoms of avian influenza varies from several hours to three days. The incubation period depends on the virulence and dose of the infected virus, the route of infection, the species of infected birds and the state of the birds. Acute infection of avian influenza has no specific clinical symptoms. In a short time, loss of appetite, sudden rise of body temperature, respiratory symptoms, diarrhea and neurological symptoms can be seen. With a large number of deaths.

　　(3) Pathological changes The pathological changes of avian influenza vary with the virulence of the infected strain, the duration of the disease and the species of birds. The main manifestations are head swelling, fleshy beard, crown bleeding, subcutaneous bleeding and edema of legs and toes, glandular stomach nipple bleeding and salpingitis.

　　(4) Etiological diagnosis-virus isolation needs to be completed by the national laboratory.

　　(5) Serodiagnosis At present, the methods used for avian influenza detection include avian influenza virus isolation, agar diffusion (AGP) test, hemagglutination inhibition (HI) test, neuraminidase inhibition (NI) test, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), virus neutralization test (SN), reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), immunofluorescence technology (IF) and nucleic acid probe technology.

　　Avian influenza virus hemagglutinin typing antigen and standard typing serum were provided by Harbin Veterinary Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, and operated according to the instructions.

　　In a word, the diagnosis of avian influenza, the isolation and identification of laboratory viruses and the pathogenicity test all take a long time and cost a lot. Only a few laboratories can carry out this inspection, and they can’t make a diagnosis within a short time (48 hours) after receiving the inspection samples, and the diagnosis lags behind the requirements of taking measures on the spot. The faster and earlier the diagnosis of avian influenza is made, the smaller the loss will be. When bird flu is suspected, it is very important to report the epidemic situation in time so as to obtain timely diagnosis from relevant experts.

　　How to make a differential diagnosis of avian influenza?

　　Because the epidemic characteristics, symptoms and pathological changes caused by avian influenza infection are similar to some infectious diseases of poultry, it is necessary to make differential diagnosis in time, such as Newcastle disease, infectious bronchitis, infectious laryngotracheitis, infectious rhinitis, mycoplasma disease, chlamydia disease, egg drop syndrome, etc. Especially the mixed infection or secondary infection of some diseases makes the condition more complicated, which makes diagnosis difficult or easy to be misdiagnosed. Therefore, the differential diagnosis is very important.

　　The first is the differential diagnosis with Newcastle disease. The epidemic characteristics, symptoms and pathological changes of avian influenza are very similar to those of Newcastle disease in chickens. Generally speaking, the incubation period and course of highly pathogenic avian influenza are shorter than those of Newcastle disease in China at present. The symptoms such as dyspnea, hydrops in crop and mouth, cooing when dyspnea, typical neurological symptoms and conventional typical pathological changes are all more obvious and characteristic than avian influenza. In addition, the emergency immune effect of Newcastle disease on the spot is all related to avian influenza. However, some of them are not obviously different. The accurate differential diagnosis of the two diseases can only rely on laboratory diagnosis. The simplest and most practical methods are virus isolation and hemagglutination inhibition test (HI). Newcastle disease antiserum can not inhibit the hemagglutination of avian influenza virus, and vice versa.

　　According to the comprehensive analysis of epidemic characteristics, symptoms, pathological autopsy and laboratory examination (etiology, serology), avian influenza can be distinguished from other epidemics. Similarly, secondary or complicated bacterial or viral diseases can be determined by pathogen isolation and some detection methods.

　　Excerpted from "Questions and Answers on Prevention and Control of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza" by China Agricultural Publishing House.

　　"In fact, the villagers’ awareness of fire prevention has improved a lot now, and the real fire fighting and rescue tasks at work have been reduced to a certain extent. We have begun to closely integrate fire fighting forces with rural revitalization. I hope ‘ Give full play to advantages and highlight characteristics ’ , to embark on a rural revitalization with unique characteristics of Miao and Dong villages ‘ Safe road ’ 。” In the Leishan County Fire Rescue Brigade, Luo Jie, the instructor of the brigade, is introducing the situation of the team to reporters.

　　Leishan County is located in the southwest of Qiandongnan Miao and Dong Autonomous Prefecture, Guizhou Province, with dense forests and winding waters. It is dominated by ethnic minorities such as Miao and Dong, and has the largest Miao village in the world, Xijiang Miao Village. In recent years, Xijiang Qianhu Miao Village Scenic Area has become a tourist attraction, and the county has vigorously implemented "global tourism" to fully activate the "new kinetic energy" of rural revitalization. However, the mountain features, the housing structure of Miao village and the security risks brought by "tourism fever" all bring challenges to the local grass-roots fire protection work.

　　How to get through the "last mile" of fire safety management based on local characteristics; How to give full play to the firefighting power, practice "people’s firefighting for the people", and realize the effective connection between consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization? The Leishan County Fire Rescue Brigade combines the main responsibility and main business, thinks ahead and takes the initiative to explore and form the Xijiang model of grassroots firefighting work, and escorts rural revitalization with safety.

　　Enrich strength

　　Take the lead in realizing full coverage of full-time fire brigade of township government.

　　Records of store fire inspection during flood control in Xijiang Town, fire safety checklist for farmers during this winter and next spring, and "one household for one file" for fire safety in Xijiang Miao Village Scenic Area … In the office of Xijiang Town Government full-time fire brigade, piles of forms and documents record the fire safety inspection work of the brigade in detail.

　　"We will carry out fire safety inspections on 21 administrative villages in Xijiang Town every month and at important time nodes, and check the water level of drinking water pools and special fire-fighting pools in scenic spots, and implement the system of twice-daily inspection and twice-reporting." Li Jian, vice captain of the team, said that the information collection and archiving of 571 business premises and 1,270 farmers in Xijiang Scenic Area have been completed.

　　In order to improve the county’s fire prevention and control ability, Leishan County forced the grassroots responsibility, promoted the establishment of fire safety committees and fire workstations at the county and township levels, established a three-level fire safety guarantee system at the county, township (town) and village levels, and invested 3.5 million yuan to complete the construction of seven township full-time fire brigades, taking the lead in realizing full coverage of township government full-time fire brigades in the whole state, and completed the construction of 125 volunteer fire brigades in more than 50 wooden contiguous villages, further consolidating the foundation of rural fire prevention and control.

　　In addition, in view of the large flow of people and limited fire prevention and control ability in Xijiang Scenic Area, Leishan County established a leading group for tourism safety improvement in Xijiang Scenic Area, which was composed of 7 party and government leaders and 45 industry department heads. The county fire rescue brigade took the initiative to draw the county party Committee and the county government to combine the actual situation of the scenic spot. The Measures for Fire Safety Management (Trial) of Xijiang Qianhu Miao Village Scenic Spot in Leishan County and the Notice on Further Defining the Responsibilities of Fire Safety Prevention in Xijiang Scenic Spot and Strengthening the Responsibility Investigation have been issued successively to refine the responsibilities of fire safety functions of scenic spots at all levels and departments, and eight fire micro-stations and two fire observation posts, namely, the central observation platform and Baiyan, have been set up in the scenic spot.

　　The reporter came to the central observation deck post. On the observation deck, the Xijiang scenic spot was unobstructed. The post is also specially equipped with telescopes and thermal imaging probes. If a place "has a cigarette and a little spark", the duty officer can accurately capture and respond quickly.

　　There are 1,580 houses in Xijiang Qianhu Miao Village, with a permanent population of 1,446 households with more than 6,100 people. The full-time fire brigade of Xijiang Town Government divides Xijiang Scenic Area into four areas: Nangui, Yangpai, Dongyin and Pingzhai, and comprehensively strengthens the investigation of fire hazards in the scenic area through "all-in-one, all-in-one and active service".

　　"Although the business in scenic spots has brought economic income to our town, if the safety work is not done properly, such development is ‘ Walk with a limp ’ Once something goes wrong, the consequences are unimaginable. " Li Jian said that the barbecue street in the scenic spot is a long-standing problem of fire safety, and some merchants lack certain safety awareness in the use of gas, which requires repeated inspections and key education.

　　In the first half of this year, the Leishan County Fire Rescue Brigade organized fire rescue personnel and full-time fire brigade members to carry out actions such as no smoking in scenic spots, management of flammable and combustible decorations, management of restaurants and fire exits, etc. A total of 1,184 business premises were investigated, 78 decorative places of flammable and combustible materials were completely removed by compulsory measures, 84 restaurants and restaurants were urged to install gas alarms, and 186 illegal acts of occupying fire exits were investigated, 21 trailers and 152 motor vehicles were detained.

　　Strengthen security

　　Constructing a three-dimensional fire prevention and control system

　　Mountainous area is the biggest feature of Guizhou. Xijiang scenic spot is located in the slope zone of the transition between Hunan and Guangxi hilly basins in Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, with rolling mountains.

　　"If there is a fire, large vehicles and equipment are inconvenient to enter. On the one hand, building a reservoir on the mountain can facilitate the villagers’ domestic water use, and on the other hand, when a fire breaks out, the reservoir can become a source of fire water nearby." Luo Jie said.

　　Safety is the premise of development. In order to do a good job in rural fire protection grass-roots construction, Leishan County Fire Rescue Brigade focuses on the essential fire safety transformation such as kitchen reform, water reform and electricity reform in wooden contiguous villages, and strengthens the management of fire safety sources.

　　"Volunteer fire brigade, fire pool and motor pump are the three magic weapons to realize fire disposal, and water shortage is fatal." Fei Teng, the fire supervisor of the brigade, found that the fire water in the scenic spot could not meet the actual demand during the in-depth investigation of the fire infrastructure in Xijiang scenic spot, so the brigade reported to the county government in combination with the "water reform" project and put forward renovation suggestions. Subsequently, the county invested funds to improve the construction of 12 high-level fire pools, three circular fire pipe networks, 108 fire hydrants and supporting facilities and equipment with a total of 1,500 cubic meters.

　　Xijiang Scenic Area also focuses on making it clear that the public fire-fighting pipe network needs to be equipped with one fire hydrant every 40 meters, and each house can be effectively covered by two fire hydrants. All the business premises that are rebuilt by villagers’ self-built houses are equipped with simple automatic fire alarm systems, sprinkler systems and hose reels, and the technical standards such as safety exits, evacuation routes, allocation of fire-fighting equipment, and safe use of fire and electricity are made clear, thus solving the dilemma that the all-wood structure buildings in the scenic area cannot be implemented with reference to national and industrial standards.

　　In order to solve the problem that the traditional electricity reform can’t effectively monitor people’s unsafe electricity use, which leads to a high number of electrical fires, Xijiang Scenic Area has installed more than 1,100 arc-extinguishing electrical fire protector terminals and 8 water level online monitors, realizing 4,680 times of early warning and disposal, realizing a new pattern of real-time online monitoring of electricity safety, intelligent analysis and judgment of rural electricity risk laws, accurate assistance in fire hazard elimination, and standardized fire safety management with data cages.

　　It is necessary to take physical defense and technical defense measures, but also to improve civil air defense capabilities. "Leishan is a gathering place for ethnic minorities, and the villagers here are very talkative ’ Love ‘ Heavy customs. " Luo Jie said, Xijiang Scenic Area should be governed by the whole people, implement the "ten-household joint defense", integrate the traditional fire management methods of Miao village with the traditional discussion, formulate and issue village rules and regulations with public binding force, and promote fire inspection, shouting for the village, publicity and training, monitoring of key personnel, greeting for weddings and funerals and other measures to be effectively implemented.

　　Active integration

　　Actively carry out rural revitalization and assistance work.

　　"Secretary Xiao Gong is here!" On August 2nd, Grandma Li Mingzhen, a villager from 12 groups of lamb chops in Xijiang Village, stood at the door of her house early in the morning. Today is the day when Gong Enpu, the first secretary of Guizhou Provincial Fire and Rescue Corps stationed in Xijiang Village, paid a regular visit. At the sight of Gong Enpu, the old man Li Mingzhen held his hand tightly and took it to the house.

　　"Li Popo, I think the high temperature has continued in recent days, and I bought you an electric fan. Don’t blow on the fan when you are old." Gong Enpu told Li Nainai while installing an electric fan.

　　Since he became the resident secretary of Xijiang Village in 2021, Gong Enpu has cooperated with Guizhou Provincial Fire Rescue Corps and Leizhou County Fire Rescue Brigade to actively carry out rural revitalization and resident assistance.

　　Guided by the idea that the Corps adheres to the combination of blood transfusion and hematopoiesis, and the combination of poverty alleviation and intellectual support, the county fire rescue brigade fully combines the characteristics and reality of ethnic minorities living in its jurisdiction, highly integrates fire rescue work with strategic policies such as "national unity", "poverty alleviation" and "rural revitalization", and works hard on the issues that the masses are most worried about and looking forward to, and makes practical moves.

　　The county fire rescue brigade brought the poverty alleviation work into the agenda of the party Committee, established the precise poverty alleviation strategy of "fixed point, fixed person and fixed household" and "promoting rural fire safety", implemented the "frontline work law of the party Committee", set up a 6-member party member vanguard team to carry out police pre-help at important nodes, and established and improved the fire protection work system of the two village committees.

　　In the meantime, the relevant personnel of the Party Committee of the Corps and the detachment have conducted in-depth research on helping villages for 13 times to find out in detail the difficulties existing in the current rural revitalization work, and awarded 600,000 yuan of "fire-fighting inspirational scholarships" to 32 poor students in 6 helping villages. The Corps has invested a total of 6.078 million yuan to build a fire-fighting industrial road, a fire-fighting bridge and a miniature fire station for the villages, and donated more than 50 children of poor households in the villages to actively develop fish and black rice fields.

　　"A year’s time is not long, but I have been fully integrated here, and I have gradually moved from a village ‘ Outsider ’ It became ’ Family ’ 。” Gong Enpu told reporters that whether it is the first-line rescue or the current assistance in the village, the villagers’ affairs are his biggest thing, and he can be the guardian of the safe development of his hometown without regrets.

Previously on Observer Network Synthesis: The FBI seems to be Trump’s "savior" who has been lagging behind in the election. It not only restarted the "mail door" investigation at a critical moment, but also denied that Hillary accused Trump of improper contact with Russia. There is evidence to support it.

Another important character who influenced the election, Assange, has even "evolved" to predict Hillary’s emotions. He described Hillary as "even losing her mind in pursuit of ambition", and Hillary was "sure enough" angered by the protester’s sentence "Clinton is a rapist".

Previously, she has been trying to show a rational and calm temperament, and often publicly accused Trump that "people who are easily angered on social media are not suitable for mastering nuclear weapons."

After this wave, according to the latest polls, the election situation has reached a "rebalancing".

On November 1, Hillary rarely got angry at the campaign rally.

Hillary rarely gets angry.

On November 2nd, the US Chinese website quoted New York Post as saying that on Tuesday (2nd) night, Hillary Clinton lost her temper in front of a protester in a rare campaign rally.

At a rally in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, a protester shouted, "Bill Clinton is a rapist!"When Hillary heard it, she pointed her finger at the protester to fight back.

She said: "You know, I am sick and tired of these negative, dark, divisive, dangerous and angry Trump supporters (I am sick and tired of the negative, dark, divisive,
dangerous vision and behavior from people who support Donald Trump)”。

In fact, this is not the first time that protesters have expressed their anger at Hillary’s campaign rally in this way, but Hillary’s reaction this time is indeed abnormal.

"We will not retreat, we will move forward to a better future." The supporters in the audience shouted Hillary’s name to cheer for it. Protesters who shouted "Clinton" was a rapist were expelled from the venue.

Earlier, Hillary Clinton questioned Trump in public more than once that he was easily angered. In the third TV debate, she also criticized Trump "as an easily angered person. How can such a person be the commander-in-chief of the three armed forces of the United States? Will the world be safe by giving the US nuclear weapon password to someone who is easily angered by a Twitter? " She also said that a mature diplomat will not talk lightly about war. War is never the first option, and reason must always overcome sensibility.

At the Democratic Party Congress held in Philadelphia in July, Hillary Clinton also made similar remarks: "Imagine him in the Oval Office (the President’s Office of the White House). For a real crisis, a person who can be defeated by Twitter is not someone we can entrust with nuclear weapons."

Assange: Hillary ClintonMy heart is full of ambition, and it is morbid.

Russian satellite news network reported on November 3rd that julian assange, editor-in-chief of Wikileaks website, said in an interview with Russian TV Today that she felt very sorry for Hillary Clinton, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of the United States, who was "full of ambition".

Data map: Assange

Assange said, "I actually feel sorry for Hillary, because her heart is full of ambition, and she has reached a morbid state, even losing her mind in pursuit of ambition."

Lawyer Assange said earlier that if Hillary wins the election, the security threat to the editor-in-chief will increase significantly.

Assange also pointed out that Hillary’s campaign team’s statement about Russia’s intervention in the US election is false. He also refuted Russia’s assertion that Wikileaks broke the news.

Assange said: "The Hillary team successfully set off a wave of new McCarthyism. Hillary Clinton has made false statements more than once before, saying that 17 intelligence agencies in the United States have concluded that Russia is the source of Wikileaks, which is incorrect. "

Assange told the press conference of the 10th anniversary of Wikileaks in early October this year that the website would expose all documents related to the US presidential election before November 8th.

Poll: Trump’s odds are increasing　"invisible voters" may assist

According to the China Journal website reported on November 3rd, Trump’s odds are increasing. A recent follow-up poll shows that Trump’s support rate is 5.4 percentage points higher than that of Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. Analysts also pointed out that a group of "invisible voters" who are unwilling to admit supporting Trump verbally but secretly vote for Trump will send the controversial billionaire to the White House.

On November 2, the latest follow-up poll released by Los Angeles Times showed that Trump’s support rate was 47.8%, which was 4 percentage points higher than last week, while Hillary’s support rate dropped by 3 percentage points to 42.4% now. This is the first time since May this year that a poll showed that Trump was ahead of Hillary.

Recent polls show that Trump’s support rate has been equal to Hillary.

Before the polling day, the donis College of the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles Times conducted a follow-up poll. They asked about 3,000 Americans about their voting intentions every day in order to grasp the changing trend of the election.

The New Zealand Herald also published an article on November 3, saying that based on the early voting data and a political theory called "Bradley effect", many voters had made up their minds to support Trump, but they lied in the polls because they were afraid of being labeled politically incorrect, but they voted for Trump when they officially voted. This group of "invisible" voters is likely to become Trump’s magic weapon.

Zinia Victor, an American expert at Chatham House, a British think tank, believes that Trump has undoubtedly inspired many voters who have never participated in the general election before. "We have seen, this is a fact. Look at those who participated in the Trump campaign. They are not typical Republican voters. " Victor said, "Hillary’s supporters are not so enthusiastic … This is a problem, because during Obama’s campaign, he was able to attract a large number of voters who had never voted before to stand up for him, but according to the current early voting data, these people did not stand up for Hillary."

A similar situation occurred in the Brexit referendum. At that time, about 3 million voters who had never voted before stood up, and their appearance reversed the voting results predicted by the polls in one fell swoop, and Brexit unexpectedly won. Newt gingrich, former speaker of the US House of Representatives, said: "I believe that just like the Brexit referendum, Trump’s final vote rate is likely to be 3 to 4 percentage points higher than expected by the polls."

The practice of Paul Ryan, the current speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States, confirms that the "Bradley effect" really exists. The Republican who has refused to publicly support Trump admitted on November 1 that he had voted for Trump in advance.

The American political news website "Politico" quoted a Republican in Virginia as saying: "I know many Republicans who are unwilling to admit that they will vote for Trump, and I am unwilling to admit it myself. If Hillary’s approval rating is 5 percentage points higher than Bitram’s, this will not cause any problems. Otherwise, the results on the polling day may surprise everyone. "

This article is an exclusive manuscript of Observer. The content of the article is purely the author’s personal opinion, and does not represent the platform’s view. It shall not be reproduced without authorization, otherwise legal responsibility will be investigated. Pay attention to the observer network WeChat guanchacn and read interesting articles every day.

　　　　

　　　 Cartography: Li Kun

　　　　Going over the wall to get out of school, each has its own way.

　　　　"Go to Houhai Wild Strawberry Bar to perform on Friday night; Leave for Bashang on Saturday to attend Zhangbei Music Festival; I flew back to school on Sunday night to catch up with my homework and hand it in on Monday … "Amu, who is studying econometrics, didn’t put his mind on" measurement "at all, but" calculated "his weekend schedule.

　　　　Amu, a student of the School of Economics of Renmin University of China, is "the backbone of the school art troupe" and is familiar with guitar, bass, drum set, cucurbit, bawu, accordion and many other musical instruments. By chance, Amu was recommended by a senior sister of the school art troupe to accompany others. Amu went with his piano on his back, and only when he arrived did he know that the protagonist was Zhong Lifeng, a famous folk singer. Because Amu’s improvisation ability is very strong, he can play together after listening to the music twice, so Zhong Lifeng hit it off with him and immediately invited him to attend Qujiang International Music Festival in Xi ‘an.

　　　　After two days’ performance in a different place, Amu felt the excitement on the stage and the simple pursuit and desire of a group of young people for musical ideals. "I found the state I wanted, which is a life I have never experienced before." From then on, Amu fell in love with "going to the cave" and began to take on the job of "running the venue" frequently. Every weekend, he went to the bar in Houhai to "make friends with the piano" and participated in various music festivals, and his footprints traveled all over the country. "Making money has never been my goal, and college life should be like this."

　　　　Nowadays, the group of "cave-walkers" on campus is getting bigger and bigger, and it has gradually evolved into a fashion. "Flowers bloom inside the wall and incense smells outside." These various students "talented people" use their "skills" to go out together or alone to "walk the hole" after studying.

　　　　In their view, "going to the cave" is to experience life, but also to increase the weight for stepping out of campus and into society in the future.

　　　　Shen He, a senior girl from Communication University of China, just finished broadcasting at the 25th National Federation of Students’ Associations two weeks ago. She majored in broadcasting and hosting, and she went to the Great Hall of the People.

　　　　It turned out that the Central Committee of the Communist Youth League wanted to find a female classmate to broadcast the meeting materials at the Student Union Conference and contacted China Communication University. The school teacher recommended her.

　　　　Shen He is a veteran "cave walker". He does roadshows for men’s wear international carnival in Blue Harbor, dubs electronic dictionaries and presides over various trade fairs. He has electronics, technology and medicines, and can earn thousands of dollars a day. In a drama, Shen He met the actress who dubbed Avatar in Chinese, and the actress appreciated her very much. So when director Lu Chuan asked the actress’s recommender to dub the promotional film of the China Pavilion of the World Expo, the actress did not hesitate to recommend her. Later, she also participated in the recording of the china national radio World Expo program, "This time I walked to the Shanghai World Expo".

　　　　Compared with those "acupuncturists" who often pay thousands of fees and have seen the world, Tang Ke’s "acupuncturist" road is dull, but it also makes her feel full and warm. This girl, a junior in Tianjin Normal University, is the hostess of an audio-visual studio called F2.8, which specializes in filming the wedding process for the bride and groom and also taking some graduation photos. Tang Ke’s first shot was to make a guest photo of his parents’ friend’s son’s wedding, which made his parents’ friends full of praise.

　　　　As a result of word of mouth, Tang Ke met many "married" people in half a year. "Every time I go out to shoot and witness the romantic and happy moments of others, I am also very happy and embarrassed." Tang Ke’s entire possessions include: a Sony FX1000E camera worth 24,000 yuan given to her by her father on her 20th birthday, and a virtual cyberspace. Partner with a middle school male student who is unemployed at home, and all publicity and promotion rely on the internet. Although filming took up a lot of her sleep time, Tang Ke claimed that she was definitely a good student. "I never miss classes, and I attend boring classes!" Fortunately, young people in Tianjin get married on weekends. "It’s a good time to cooperate with me and support my studies."

　　　　Shiny appearance is actually a bitter tear.

　　　 Walking acupoints often begins with being cheated.

　　　　However, their "eighteen martial arts" may not be recognized by classmates, teachers and even parents. Amu’s "Econometrics" teacher thinks that his acting skills have no "use value" and wasting study time is definitely a "sunk cost". And he "stays up all night" and "stays up all night" with his piano on his back, which is even a "big rebellion" in the view of the dormitory administrator aunt. Because going out to perform always comes back late, Amu always knocks on the door downstairs of the dormitory. At two o’clock that night, the aunt who was awakened by a knock at the door finally became angry: "It’s you again! What did you do at night? How to live so disorderly! " Amu had no choice but to cross the unlit night road and sit in the all-night study room with a guitar.

　　　　Almost everyone who walks the acupuncture point will go through a period of confusion. Jun Chen, a student of Beijing Institute of Fashion who often goes out to take photos, told reporters about his confusion: "When I go out to earn extra money, I find it difficult to concentrate on my studies. Although photography is a practice-oriented major, I’m still a little worried about my study status, because it’s easy for people to become commercialized and gradually care about it. If they have income, they will do it. If they don’t, they will do it hard. If they have more income, they will be lazy. It has nothing to do with real art. This is really sad for a person who studies art. "

　　　　Don’t look at these "daren" on campus wandering among celebrities and famous artists, but behind the glamorous stage, there is an arduous struggle and endless grievances. Shen He of China Communication University told reporters that he had done everything when he first came out to walk in the cave, and he was cheated many times. At first, I helped people copy books, and only a few thousand words were given a few dollars; Then go and fold Chinese knots for people. You only get 20 cents for one fold, and you can get money only if you fold a certain amount. "Everything that asks you to pay in advance is a lie." Shen He went online for the first time to find a part-time etiquette job, and felt that his image and other aspects were more suitable. When he went to the etiquette company for an interview, the other party praised her strongly, and then asked her to pay the money, claiming that he could introduce her to various part-time interview opportunities after handing it over to 380 yuan. Later, Shen He received twenty or thirty interview calls, which almost made her travel all over Beijing. After several visits, she found that the candidate had already been decided, and arranging the interview was just an intermediary fooling people.

　　　　"It’s particularly bitter, and it’s a week in a row. In those days, I went to class in the morning, ran back to the dormitory to change clothes at noon, and rushed to the scene in the afternoon. " Once Shen He made an introduction in the exhibition hall of the auto show, every two hours, for more than half an hour at a time, and interacted with the audience. In this way, I stood in the exhibition hall all afternoon and evening and earned 10 thousand for 10 days in a row. "I won’t do it again!" Shen He said: "I am a host, a communicator, don’t be a phonograph."

　　　　Instructor: Students who go to acupuncture points should be responsible for their own civil behavior and the safety of going out.

　　　　After his junior year, Shen He stopped taking this kind of project to earn extra money. "Tired, no status, no future … I have experienced too much before, enough, I want to settle down and learn to think and find my own direction." When it comes to the life of going to acupuncture points for several years, Shen He thinks that he has gained a lot in his profession and experience. "In terms of our broadcasting and hosting major, there are more external learning and less internal learning. The rhythm and expression of our professional training are all external skills, but your connotation and your things from the inside out have to be cultivated and refined by yourself. The experience of acupuncturing helps me to better understand what I want to express, which is more meaningful and not empty. Shen He also mentioned that once she went back to school for a broadcasting class after a summer vacation, the teacher said that she had made a great progress, and her understanding of the manuscript was thorough and profound, with a qualitative leap.

　　　　"Why do opportunities keep coming to you? You must take the first step and occupy the commanding heights. People who have experienced more often get more opportunities. " Shen He concluded this way.

　　　　Lu Peng, Secretary-General of the Guidance Center for Students’ Extracurricular Activities in Peking University, holds a positive attitude towards the phenomenon of "going to acupuncture points". "As long as it does not affect normal teaching, it is a good thing for students to participate in socialization earlier." Lu Peng analyzed that those college students who have the ability to "walk the hole" are basically senior, capable and talented people in the university, and they are the so-called elites among college students. These college students participate in social division of labor and practice earlier, which helps them understand the operation of society, get familiar with the working environment in advance and master the way of survival. In addition, these students are basically over 18 years old and are adults. They should learn to be independent and go into the society to experience and feel. It is entirely their freedom and the school will not interfere. "But at the same time, they should be able to be responsible for their own civil behavior and the safety of going out. These are completely personal behaviors, and the school has no reason and no ability to be responsible." Lu Peng said.